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Thought Leadership

Insights from Tocqueville

Monetary Tectonics

Monetary Tectonics

By John Hathaway on November 24, 2014

The “strength” in the dollar appears to have been the proximate cause of the recent selloff in gold. The rise in the dollar index (DXY) is taken by most to mean that the dollar is actually strong. The chart below shows the inverse correlation between the DXY and the dollar gold price. This discussion will …

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Tocqueville Gold Strategy Investor Letter Third Quarter 2014

Tocqueville Gold Strategy Investor Letter Third Quarter 2014

By John Hathaway on October 3, 2014

Through September 30, the $US gold price declined 6%, after giving up much of the stronger gains that had been achieved through most of the year. The recent bout of weakness began in late August and coincided with the breakdown of the Yen and the Euro vs. the US dollar. Commentary from all quarters is …

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Tocqueville Gold Strategy Investor Letter Second Quarter 2014

Tocqueville Gold Strategy Investor Letter Second Quarter 2014

By John Hathaway on July 18, 2014

The precious metals complex, both mining shares and bullion, appears to be in the process of completing a major bottom extending back to mid-2013. The chart below depicts this action quite clearly in the form of what technical analysts refer to as a reverse or upside down head and shoulder pattern, a classic indication of …

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Tocqueville Gold Strategy Investor Letter First Quarter 2014

Tocqueville Gold Strategy Investor Letter First Quarter 2014

By John Hathaway on April 11, 2014

Gold and gold mining shares recovered during the first quarter with the metal rising 6.5% and precious metals shares (basis XAU) 8.7% through March 31st. It appears to us that the precious metals complex has bottomed and is attempting to gain footing following the grueling two-plus year correction that started in August of 2011. It …

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Tocqueville Gold Strategy  First Quarter 2014 Investor Letter

Tocqueville Gold Strategy First Quarter 2014 Investor Letter

By John Hathaway on April 10, 2014

Gold and gold mining shares recovered during the first quarter with the metal rising 6.5% and precious metals shares (basis XAU) 8.7% through March 31st. It appears to us that the precious metals complex has bottomed and is attempting to gain footing following the grueling two-plus year correction that started in August of 2011. It is impossible to …

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