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Thought Leadership

Insights from Tocqueville

Monetary Tectonics

Monetary Tectonics

By John Hathaway on November 24, 2014

The “strength” in the dollar appears to have been the proximate cause of the recent selloff in gold. The rise in the dollar index (DXY) is taken by most to mean that the dollar is actually strong. The chart below shows the inverse correlation between the DXY and the dollar gold price. This discussion will …

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Tocqueville Gold Strategy Investor Letter Year End 2014

Tocqueville Gold Strategy Investor Letter Year End 2014

By John Hathaway on January 15, 2015

It is a little-known fact that gold outperformed all currencies in 2014, except for the US dollar. In dollar terms gold declined 1.7 percent, but as the table below shows, it posted solid gains against all other currencies. While the dollar price of gold was essentially flat in 2014, highly negative media coverage created the …

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Tocqueville Gold Strategy  First Quarter 2015 Investor Letter

Tocqueville Gold Strategy First Quarter 2015 Investor Letter

By John Hathaway on April 7, 2015

Gold and gold mining shares appear to be as contrarian today asin 1999, before a decade‐plusrun in which bullion rose nearly seven‐fold in US dollar terms. For those who are concerned that the financial markets are overvalued, we believe that gold offers an out‐of‐favor investment strategy with asymmetric and dynamic potential. For those who see …

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Tocqueville Gold Strategy Investor Letter First Quarter 2015

Tocqueville Gold Strategy Investor Letter First Quarter 2015

By John Hathaway on April 7, 2015

Gold and gold mining shares appear to be as contrarian today as in 1999, before a decade‐plus run in which bullion rose nearly seven‐fold in US dollar terms. For those who are concerned that the financial markets are overvalued, we believe that gold offers an out‐of‐favor investment strategy with asymmetric and dynamic potential. For those who see the …

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Sell The Rumor, Buy The News

Sell The Rumor, Buy The News

By Robert Kleinschmidt on June 17, 2015

Investors have been selling the rumors lately, inverting the old adage.  Rumors of a Greek default and a Fed rate hike have sent investors panicking for the nearest exits.  But, will they buy the news?  Who knows, but they should. I cannot think of two better advertised negative events than these, all the more so …

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