When I became partner at Tocqueville in 2000, we were at the tail end of the dotcom bubble. The previous five years had been characterized by a surge in technological innovation around the Internet, with U.S. companies leading the way. In equity markets, this resulted in a concentration of interest and fund flows into U.S. …
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The unholy gyre of political and societal extremes widened further in the most recent quarter, as did the distance, until just recently, between the reality of interest rate policy and the market’s hopes for it. Falconer-in-Chief Powell seems to have kept his eye fixed on the falcon, even if the lesser austringers who attempt to …
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The end of 2023 brought a welcome respite for investors of nearly all stripes. Conventional wisdom coalesced around the narrative that the Treasury’s decision to moderate the size and pace of its debt issuance, along with the decline in the Federal Reserve’s favored gauge of inflation (leading to the “Powell Pivot” and the restoration of the …
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The alphabet soup entities of the FOMC, OPEC, ChatGPT, GLP-1, and the CCP dominated the sentiment of financial markets during the past quarter, as investors (and the Federal Reserve, aka the “Fed”) searched for data-dependent direction on where to deploy capital. Since then, the situation around the world has grown more precarious, especially for the …
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