Insights from Tocqueville - Page 2 of 14
American Exceptionalism

American Exceptionalism

In financial markets today, the term “American Exceptionalism” has gained momentum, and rightly so, as shown in the chart below as well as in U.S. equity market returns compared with the rest of the world. Still, it can be argued that valuation for the S&P 500 is...
Seeking Value Around the Globe

Seeking Value Around the Globe

When I became partner at Tocqueville in 2000, we were at the tail end of the dotcom bubble. The previous five years had been characterized by a surge in technological innovation around the Internet, with U.S. companies leading the way. In equity markets, this resulted...
The Second Coming

The Second Coming

The unholy gyre of political and societal extremes widened further in the most recent quarter, as did the distance, until just recently, between the reality of interest rate policy and the market’s hopes for it. Falconer-in-Chief Powell seems to have kept his eye...
Incrementalism is a Virtue

Incrementalism is a Virtue

The end of 2023 brought a welcome respite for investors of nearly all stripes. Conventional wisdom coalesced around the narrative that the Treasury’s decision to moderate the size and pace of its debt issuance, along with the decline in the Federal Reserve’s favored...
The Wall of Worry has Thickened

The Wall of Worry has Thickened

The alphabet soup entities of the FOMC, OPEC, ChatGPT, GLP-1, and the CCP dominated the sentiment of financial markets during the past quarter, as investors (and the Federal Reserve, aka the “Fed”) searched for data-dependent direction on where to deploy capital....