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Investing for the Long Term: A Word on Performance

By Paul Kleinschmidt on November 5, 2018

We live in a short-term, short-attention-span world dominated by relentless news cycles. In few places is this more apparent than within financial circles, where these powerful trends have combined to increase the collective anxiety of the investor community. Performance has come to be measured in days and weeks; returns are examined monthly and usually without …

By John Hathaway on August 22, 2018

Intense liquidation of gold mining shares during the week of August 13, 2018 could, in our opinion, mark a trading bottom, if not the terminal point in the lengthy consolidation of the sector since the bottom of December 2015. To support our view, we note: -Extreme bearish positioning of COMEX gold speculators; -Extreme bullish positioning …

Reflections on the Past as Prologue

By Joseph Piropato on January 3, 2018

At the beginning of a New Year there is a tendency, particularly among Wall Street prognosticators, to review the recent past and extrapolate its trends into the near future. At this time twelve months ago many were projecting a continuation of slow but steady growth for the economy, perhaps a little better than that due …

Letter to the Clients

By Robert Kleinschmidt on January 27, 2017

Dear Clients, Now that the elections are mercifully behind us, the markets should be able to focus on fundamentals, which are, as of this writing, neither terribly positive nor terribly negative. Over the next 12 months, we would expect, so long as U.S. growth continues, that interest rates will rise gradually at first, but then, …

Trump’s Victory: What Does it Mean for Gold?

By John Hathaway on November 21, 2016

In our view, the systemic risks that existed prior to the presidential election have not suddenly vanished. Most important among these is a massive bond-market bubble. Close behind, equity valuations remain at historically extreme levels. How the new administration deals with these vexing issues, assuming that it even begins to comprehend them, is a complete …

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